Dynamic.RE · SFR Market Intelligence

Waco, Texas Housing Market

Prices, inventory, and demand — distilled every month into one clear verdict: buyer’s market or seller’s. The investor’s read, before you make an offer.

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Data through June 2026
Dynamic.RE Verdict
Buyer's Market
Under 0.90 buyers per home for sale, sellers compete for buyers. Waco sits at 0.26, with 23% of sellers already cutting their price.
Median list price
$276,109
-4.4%
Demand : Supply
0.26
Days on market
66 days
Time to go under contract

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Waco right now.

You have the upper hand in Waco. Most homes for sale still have no buyer. Many sellers have already dropped their price once. There are more homes for sale than at any time in ten years. Sellers are competing for you. Use it.

01
The market at a glance
Median $ / sqft
$173
Active inventory
869
New listings / mo
192
Days on market
66 days
Price-cut share
23.0%
Pending sales
229
02
Where we are in the cycle
Median asking price
$276,109
11% below the Jul 2024 peak of $310K
Homes for sale
869
8.5× the May 2021 low of 102
Days to sell
66 days
2.9× slower than the 22-day Jul 2021 low
03
Market context
270.4K
Population
108.5K
Housing units · county
34.0
Median age · county
$340.3K
Avg list price · luxury-skewed
04
What this means for investors

How much can you negotiate in Waco?

Only 26 out of every 100 homes for sale have found a buyer. The other 74 are still waiting. Your offer may be the only one on the table. About 1 in 4 sellers has already dropped their price. Each one has learned their first price was too high. Start below their new price, not their old one.

A typical Waco home takes 66 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 11% slower than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 90+ days ago. There are 869 homes for sale in Waco. That is the most in ten years. It is 9 times the low of May 2021. Every one of them competes with the house you want.

What to do about it

  • Start in 76701, 76711, and 76710. Those are the three softest ZIP codes in Waco.
  • Filter for homes listed 90+ days ago that have already cut their price.
  • Offer below the reduced price.
  • Keep your inspection and financing contingencies.
  • In 76701 only 11 out of 100 homes have a buyer. You can lose a few offers there and still win.

Is now a good time to buy in Waco?

Asking prices are 11.0% below their Jul 2024 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower. Waco prices have risen in 91 of the last 108 months. Drops here have been short and shallow. Buying in a slow month has rarely hurt a long hold.

There is no rush. Prices are still coming down. Watch the homes you like. Come back after they cut. Let the seller move first.

What numbers should you underwrite a Waco deal with?

  • Price growth to assume — +4.2%/yr. 1 year: -3.1% · 5 years: +4.2% · ten years: +7.9%. Do not use the ten-year rate. Most of that growth landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. The five-year rate is what Waco does without one. Underwrite closer to +4.2%. Measure growth per square foot. Waco median list price grew 7.0% a year, but price per square foot grew 7.9%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.
  • Months of carrying cost — 3. A typical home takes 66 days to sell. Budget that long when you exit or refinance. It is 11% slower than a year ago.
  • Odds you cut your price to sell — 1 in 4. About 23% of homes on the Waco market right now have already cut their asking price. Assume you are one of them when you sell. Do not underwrite an exit at your asking price.
  • Comp on this, not median price — $173/sqft. The average listing runs +23% above the median. Luxury homes skew it. Comp your own size class per sqft.
  • Competition when you exit — +20%. That is how much the number of homes for sale grew in a year. Your resale will face a bigger crowd than today's comps did.
05
Frequently asked questions

Is Waco a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Waco right now. 0.26 out of every 100 homes for sale have a buyer, 23% of sellers have cut their price, and a typical home takes 66 days to sell.

Are Waco home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are 11.0% below their Jul 2024 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower.

What price growth should I assume for Waco?

+4.2%/yr. 1 year: -3.1% · 5 years: +4.2% · ten years: +7.9%. Do not use the ten-year rate. Most of that growth landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. The five-year rate is what Waco does without one. Underwrite closer to +4.2%. Measure growth per square foot. Waco median list price grew 7.0% a year, but price per square foot grew 7.9%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.

How fast are homes selling in Waco?

A typical Waco home takes 66 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 11% slower than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 90+ days ago.

Which Waco ZIP code has the most negotiating room?

76701. Only 11 out of 100 homes there have a buyer, 13% have cut their price, and a typical home takes 112 days to sell.

06
ZIP-level detail

Where buyers have the most leverage in Waco

  • 7670114 for sale · 13% cutting · 112 daysOnly 11 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 7671129 for sale · 28% cutting · 54 daysOnly 16 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 76710146 for sale · 24% cutting · 71 daysOnly 19 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 7670795 for sale · 24% cutting · 79 daysOnly 25 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 76706204 for sale · 23% cutting · 71 daysOnly 20 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.

Where it isn't: 76708 ranks #7,577 in the country for buyer demand. Expect the least room to negotiate there.

Where Waco prices are climbing fastest

ZIP 76701 is on both lists. That is rare. It is the one place in Waco where leverage and growth overlap.

ZIP$/sqft, 2 yrs$/sqft nowBuyers per homeFor sale
76711+12.6%$1690.1629
76705+4.8%$1770.42124
76707-1.7%$1460.2595
76701-2.1%$3340.1114
76708-2.9%$1650.30213

Computed from each ZIP's own ten-year history. ZIPs with fewer than 10 homes for sale are excluded: a median across a handful of listings is noise, not a signal.

07
Where else to look

Markets similar to Waco

Closest matches on asking price, price per square foot, days to sell, buyer demand, and price cuts.

  • Huntsville, TX — $295,648 median, 65 days, 0.21 buyers per home
  • Temple, TX — $281,292 median, 64 days, 0.35 buyers per home
  • San Antonio, TX — $282,382 median, 62 days, 0.32 buyers per home
  • Sherman, TX — $300,585 median, 69 days, 0.37 buyers per home
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