Killeen, Texas Housing Market

How much can you negotiate in Killeen?

Only 30 out of every 100 homes for sale have found a buyer. The other 70 are still waiting. Your offer may be the only one on the table. About 1 in 5 sellers has already dropped their price. Each one has learned their first price was too high. Start below their new price, not their old one.

A typical Killeen home takes 70 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 90+ days ago. There are 713 homes for sale in Killeen. That is 7.1 times the tightest month on record, but below the peak of 745. Supply is steady against last year.

What to do about it

• Search Killeen homes listed 90+ days ago that have already cut their price.
• Offer below the reduced price.
• Keep your inspection and financing contingencies.
• Ask the seller to pay closing costs.
• You can lose a few offers here and still win.

Is now a good time to buy in Killeen?

Asking prices are 14.4% below their Sep 2022 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower. Killeen prices have risen in 86 of the last 111 months. Drops here have been short and shallow. Buying in a slow month has rarely hurt a long hold.

There is no rush. Prices are still coming down. Watch the homes you like. Come back after they cut. Let the seller move first.

Who will rent from you in Killeen?

In Killeen, 49 out of every 100 households rent. That is nearly half. The renter share is shrinking. Five years ago it was 55 in 100. Renter households average 2.5 people. Two and three bedrooms fit the typical renter.

Households grew 11% in five years. The housing stock grew 7%. Demand is outrunning supply. 9.3% of homes sit empty. That is normal for a healthy market.

The median Killeen household earns $62,382 a year. Incomes here have grown 4.3% a year since 2019. Incomes and home prices are rising in step. A typical home costs 3.7 times the median income. Locals can afford to buy here. Your exit buyer can be a family, not just another investor. A tenant on the median income can pay about $1,560 a month. That is the standard 30% affordability line. Rents above it thin your tenant pool fast.

That is the market, not your address. Run an address through the app to see its rent estimate and cash flow.

What numbers should you underwrite a Killeen deal with?

• Price growth to assume — +3.7%/yr. Killeen grew 6.2% a year over the decade. Ignore that rate. Most of it landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. Without the boom, Killeen grows about 3.7% a year. That is the number to type in. Prices fell 4.3% over the last year. That is a timing signal, not a trend.
• Months of carrying cost — 3. A typical home takes 70 days to sell. Budget that long when you exit or refinance.
• Odds you cut your price to sell — 1 in 5. About 20% of homes on the Killeen market right now have already cut their asking price. Assume you are one of them when you sell. Do not underwrite an exit at your asking price.
• Comp on this, not median price — $135/sqft. The average listing runs +16% above the median. Luxury homes skew it. Comp your own size class per sqft.
• Competition when you exit — +0%. The number of homes for sale barely moved in a year. Today's comps are a fair guide to your exit.
• Price-to-income ratio — 3.7×. A typical home costs 3.7 times the median income. Locals can afford to buy here. Your exit buyer can be a family, not just another investor. Incomes and home prices are rising in step.
• Tenant rent ceiling — $1,560/mo. 30% of the median household income of $62,382. Rents above this line shrink your tenant pool fast.

Is Killeen a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Killeen right now. 30 out of every 100 homes for sale have a buyer, 20% of sellers have cut their price, and a typical home takes 70 days to sell.

Are Killeen home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are 14.4% below their Sep 2022 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower.

What price growth should I assume for Killeen?

Assume +3.7% a year. Killeen grew 6.2% a year over the decade. Ignore that rate. Most of it landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. Without the boom, Killeen grows about 3.7% a year. That is the number to type in. Prices fell 4.3% over the last year. That is a timing signal, not a trend.

How fast are homes selling in Killeen?

A typical Killeen home takes 70 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 90+ days ago.

Is Killeen a renters' market or an owners' market?

In Killeen, 49 out of every 100 households rent. That is nearly half. The renter share is shrinking. Five years ago it was 55 in 100. 9.3% of homes sit empty. That is normal for a healthy market.

What rent can Killeen tenants afford?

A tenant on the median income can pay about $1,560 a month. That is the standard 30% affordability line. Rents above it thin your tenant pool fast. The median Killeen household earns $62,382 a year.