Victoria, Texas Housing Market

How much can you negotiate in Victoria?

Only 35 out of every 100 homes for sale have found a buyer. The other 65 are still waiting. Your offer may be the only one on the table. About 1 in 4 sellers has already dropped their price. Each one has learned their first price was too high. Start below their new price, not their old one.

A typical Victoria home takes 67 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 22% slower than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 90+ days ago. There are 251 homes for sale in Victoria. That is 2.4 times the tightest month on record, but below the peak of 378. Supply is shrinking against last year.

What to do about it

• Search Victoria homes listed 90+ days ago that have already cut their price.
• Offer below the reduced price.
• Keep your inspection and financing contingencies.
• Ask the seller to pay closing costs.
• You can lose a few offers here and still win.

Is now a good time to buy in Victoria?

Asking prices are 9.9% below their Jun 2023 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are rising again. Every month you wait costs money. The question is no longer when. It is which house. Victoria prices have risen in 80 of the last 108 months. Drops here have been short and shallow. Buying in a slow month has rarely hurt a long hold.

This market is turning. Which way is not settled yet. Check the monthly numbers above before you commit.

What numbers should you underwrite a Victoria deal with?

• Price growth to assume — +2.6%/yr. 1 year: +10.3% · 5 years: +2.6% · ten years: +4.2%. The five-year and ten-year rates agree. That is a durable trend, not a boom artifact. It is a fair long-run input. Measure growth per square foot. Victoria median list price grew 3.2% a year, but price per square foot grew 4.2%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.
• Months of carrying cost — 3. A typical home takes 67 days to sell. Budget that long when you exit or refinance. It is 22% slower than a year ago.
• Odds you cut your price to sell — 1 in 4. About 22% of homes on the Victoria market right now have already cut their asking price. Assume you are one of them when you sell. Do not underwrite an exit at your asking price.
• Comp on this, not median price — $160/sqft. The average listing runs +22% above the median. Luxury homes skew it. Comp your own size class per sqft.
• Competition when you exit — -9%. That is how much the number of homes for sale shrank in a year. Your resale will face a smaller crowd than today's comps did.

Is Victoria a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Victoria right now. 0.35 out of every 100 homes for sale have a buyer, 22% of sellers have cut their price, and a typical home takes 67 days to sell.

Are Victoria home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are 9.9% below their Jun 2023 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are rising again. Every month you wait costs money. The question is no longer when. It is which house.

What price growth should I assume for Victoria?

+2.6%/yr. 1 year: +10.3% · 5 years: +2.6% · ten years: +4.2%. The five-year and ten-year rates agree. That is a durable trend, not a boom artifact. It is a fair long-run input. Measure growth per square foot. Victoria median list price grew 3.2% a year, but price per square foot grew 4.2%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.

How fast are homes selling in Victoria?

A typical Victoria home takes 67 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 22% slower than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 90+ days ago.