Dynamic.RE · SFR Market Intelligence

Conroe, Texas Housing Market

Prices, inventory, and demand — distilled every month into one clear verdict: buyer’s market or seller’s. The investor’s read, before you make an offer.

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Data through June 2026
Dynamic.RE Verdict
Buyer's Market
Under 0.90 buyers per home for sale, sellers compete for buyers. Conroe sits at 0.38, with 22% of sellers already cutting their price.
Median list price
$358,758
-2.5%
Demand : Supply
0.38
Days on market
46 days
Time to go under contract

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Conroe right now.

You have the upper hand in Conroe. Most homes for sale still have no buyer. Many sellers have already dropped their price once. There are more homes for sale than at any time in ten years. Sellers are competing for you. Use it.

01
The market at a glance
Median $ / sqft
$163
Active inventory
1,369
New listings / mo
496
Days on market
46 days
Price-cut share
22.2%
Pending sales
518
02
Where we are in the cycle
Median asking price
$358,758
10% below the Jun 2022 peak of $399K
Homes for sale
1,369
3.9× the May 2021 low of 348
Days to sell
46 days
1.4× slower than the 33-day Jun 2022 low
03
Market context
749.6K
Population
266.0K
Housing units · county
37.2
Median age · county
$435.6K
Avg list price · luxury-skewed
04
What this means for investors

How much can you negotiate in Conroe?

Only 38 out of every 100 homes for sale have found a buyer. The other 62 are still waiting. Your offer may be the only one on the table. About 1 in 5 sellers has already dropped their price. Each one has learned their first price was too high. Start below their new price, not their old one.

A typical Conroe home takes 46 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago. There are 1,369 homes for sale in Conroe. That is the most in ten years. It is 4 times the low of May 2021. Every one of them competes with the house you want.

What to do about it

  • Start in 77304, 77384, and 77385. Those are the three softest ZIP codes in Conroe.
  • Filter for homes listed 60+ days ago that have already cut their price.
  • Offer below the reduced price.
  • Keep your inspection and financing contingencies.
  • In 77304 only 30 out of 100 homes have a buyer. You can lose a few offers there and still win.

Is now a good time to buy in Conroe?

Asking prices are 10.1% below their Jun 2022 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower. Conroe prices have risen in 76 of the last 108 months. Drops here have been short and shallow. Buying in a slow month has rarely hurt a long hold.

There is no rush. Prices are still coming down. Watch the homes you like. Come back after they cut. Let the seller move first.

What numbers should you underwrite a Conroe deal with?

  • Price growth to assume — +0.8%/yr. 1 year: -3.1% · 5 years: +0.8% · ten years: +3.5%. Do not use the ten-year rate. Most of that growth landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. The five-year rate is what Conroe does without one. Underwrite closer to +0.8%. Measure growth per square foot. Conroe median list price grew 1.4% a year, but price per square foot grew 3.5%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.
  • Months of carrying cost — 2. A typical home takes 46 days to sell. Budget that long when you exit or refinance.
  • Odds you cut your price to sell — 1 in 5. About 22% of homes on the Conroe market right now have already cut their asking price. Assume you are one of them when you sell. Do not underwrite an exit at your asking price.
  • Comp on this, not median price — $163/sqft. The typical Conroe listing shrank from 2,792 to 2,288 sqft since Jul 2016. So median price hides real growth: 40% per sqft versus 14% on the median. Comp on median price and you will overpay for small homes.
  • Competition when you exit — -3%. The number of homes for sale barely moved in a year. Today's comps are a fair guide to your exit.
05
Frequently asked questions

Is Conroe a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Conroe right now. 0.38 out of every 100 homes for sale have a buyer, 22% of sellers have cut their price, and a typical home takes 46 days to sell.

Are Conroe home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are 10.1% below their Jun 2022 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower.

What price growth should I assume for Conroe?

+0.8%/yr. 1 year: -3.1% · 5 years: +0.8% · ten years: +3.5%. Do not use the ten-year rate. Most of that growth landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. The five-year rate is what Conroe does without one. Underwrite closer to +0.8%. Measure growth per square foot. Conroe median list price grew 1.4% a year, but price per square foot grew 3.5%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.

How fast are homes selling in Conroe?

A typical Conroe home takes 46 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago.

Which Conroe ZIP code has the most negotiating room?

77304. Only 30 out of 100 homes there have a buyer, 28% have cut their price, and a typical home takes 46 days to sell.

06
ZIP-level detail

Where buyers have the most leverage in Conroe

  • 77304317 for sale · 28% cutting · 46 daysOnly 30 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 77384177 for sale · 20% cutting · 48 daysOnly 33 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 77385153 for sale · 25% cutting · 45 daysOnly 30 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 77301202 for sale · 20% cutting · 46 daysOnly 30 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 7730690 for sale · 22% cutting · 44 daysOnly 38 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.

Where it isn't: 77385 ranks #8,490 in the country for buyer demand. Expect the least room to negotiate there.

Where Conroe prices are climbing fastest

ZIP 77304 is on both lists. That is rare. It is the one place in Conroe where leverage and growth overlap.

ZIP$/sqft, 2 yrs$/sqft nowBuyers per homeFor sale
77306+3.6%$1620.3890
77385-2.7%$1670.30153
77303-3.2%$1630.46181
77302-3.4%$1630.56249
77304-4.0%$1660.30317

Computed from each ZIP's own ten-year history. ZIPs with fewer than 10 homes for sale are excluded: a median across a handful of listings is noise, not a signal.

07
Where else to look

Markets similar to Conroe

Closest matches on asking price, price per square foot, days to sell, buyer demand, and price cuts.

  • Pasadena, TX — $266,625 median, 46 days, 0.42 buyers per home
  • Garland, TX — $326,624 median, 48 days, 0.34 buyers per home
  • Pearland, TX — $410,977 median, 41 days, 0.48 buyers per home
  • Baytown, TX — $307,944 median, 48 days, 0.47 buyers per home
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