Baytown, Texas Housing Market

How much can you negotiate in Baytown?

Only 47 out of every 100 homes for sale have found a buyer. The other 53 are still waiting. Your offer may be the only one on the table. About 1 in 5 sellers has already dropped their price. Each one has learned their first price was too high. Start below their new price, not their old one.

A typical Baytown home takes 48 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 7% slower than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago. There are 554 homes for sale in Baytown. That is 2.9 times the tightest month on record, but below the peak of 604. Supply is growing against last year.

What to do about it

• Search Baytown homes listed 60+ days ago that have already cut their price.
• Offer below the reduced price.
• Keep your inspection and financing contingencies.
• Ask the seller to pay closing costs.
• You can lose a few offers here and still win.

Is now a good time to buy in Baytown?

Asking prices are 7.0% below their Jun 2022 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices stopped falling about a year ago. They are flat now. Waiting will not get you a cheaper house. It might still get you a more motivated seller. Baytown prices have risen in 85 of the last 108 months. Drops here have been short and shallow. Buying in a slow month has rarely hurt a long hold.

The discount is already here. It is not getting bigger. Buy now while sellers are still weak. Waiting for a lower price stopped working a year ago.

What numbers should you underwrite a Baytown deal with?

• Price growth to assume — +2.2%/yr. 1 year: +0.6% · 5 years: +2.2% · ten years: +5.3%. Do not use the ten-year rate. Most of that growth landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. The five-year rate is what Baytown does without one. Underwrite closer to +2.2%. Measure growth per square foot. Baytown median list price grew 4.5% a year, but price per square foot grew 5.3%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.
• Months of carrying cost — 2. A typical home takes 48 days to sell. Budget that long when you exit or refinance. It is 7% slower than a year ago.
• Odds you cut your price to sell — 1 in 5. About 20% of homes on the Baytown market right now have already cut their asking price. Assume you are one of them when you sell. Do not underwrite an exit at your asking price.
• Comp on this, not median price — $153/sqft. The average listing runs +12% above the median. Luxury homes skew it. Comp your own size class per sqft.
• Competition when you exit — +5%. That is how much the number of homes for sale grew in a year. Your resale will face a bigger crowd than today's comps did.

Is Baytown a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Baytown right now. 0.47 out of every 100 homes for sale have a buyer, 20% of sellers have cut their price, and a typical home takes 48 days to sell.

Are Baytown home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are 7.0% below their Jun 2022 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices stopped falling about a year ago. They are flat now. Waiting will not get you a cheaper house. It might still get you a more motivated seller.

What price growth should I assume for Baytown?

+2.2%/yr. 1 year: +0.6% · 5 years: +2.2% · ten years: +5.3%. Do not use the ten-year rate. Most of that growth landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. The five-year rate is what Baytown does without one. Underwrite closer to +2.2%. Measure growth per square foot. Baytown median list price grew 4.5% a year, but price per square foot grew 5.3%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.

How fast are homes selling in Baytown?

A typical Baytown home takes 48 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 7% slower than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago.