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Dynamic.RE · SFR Market Intelligence

San Marcos, Texas Housing Market

Prices, inventory, and demand — distilled every month into one clear verdict: buyer’s market or seller’s. The investor’s read, before you make an offer.

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Data through June 2026
Dynamic.RE Verdict
Buyer's Market
Under 0.90 buyers per home for sale, sellers compete for buyers. San Marcos sits at 0.31, with 24% of sellers already cutting their price.
Median list price
$356,700
-6.0%
Demand : Supply
0.31
Days on market
73 days
Time to go under contract

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in San Marcos right now.

You have the upper hand in San Marcos. Most homes for sale still have no buyer. Many sellers have already dropped their price once. Sellers are competing for you. Use it.

01
The market at a glance
Median $ / sqft
$203
Active inventory
430
New listings / mo
116
Days on market
73 days
Price-cut share
23.6%
Pending sales
132
02
Where we are in the cycle
Median asking price
$356,700
32% below the Nov 2021 peak of $527K
Homes for sale
430
7.0× the Mar 2021 low of 61
Days to sell
73 days
4.3× slower than the 17-day May 2021 low
03
The renter economy
62%
Renter share · of occupied homes
7.2%
Vacant homes · all units
$54.7K
Median household income
6.5×
Price-to-income · list ÷ income
04
What this means for investors

How much can you negotiate in San Marcos?

Only 31 out of every 100 homes for sale have found a buyer. The other 69 are still waiting. Your offer may be the only one on the table. About 1 in 4 sellers has already dropped their price. Each one has learned their first price was too high. Start below their new price, not their old one.

A typical San Marcos home takes 73 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 40% slower than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 90+ days ago. There are 430 homes for sale in San Marcos. That is 7.0 times the tightest month on record, but below the peak of 461. Supply is shrinking against last year.

What to do about it

  • Search San Marcos homes listed 90+ days ago that have already cut their price.
  • Offer below the reduced price.
  • Keep your inspection and financing contingencies.
  • Ask the seller to pay closing costs.
  • You can lose a few offers here and still win.

Is now a good time to buy in San Marcos?

Asking prices are 32.4% below their Nov 2021 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower. San Marcos prices rose in only 70 of the last 108 months. This market goes up and down. Timing matters here. Growth will not rescue a bad price.

There is no rush. Prices are still coming down. Watch the homes you like. Come back after they cut. Let the seller move first.

Who will rent from you in San Marcos?

Most San Marcos households rent. 62 out of every 100 households are renters. The renter share is growing. Five years ago it was 61 in 100. San Marcos added about 3,300 renter households in five years. Renter households average 2.3 people. Two and three bedrooms fit the typical renter.

Households grew 17% in five years. The housing stock grew 16%. Demand is outrunning supply. 7.2% of homes sit empty. That is normal for a healthy market.

The median San Marcos household earns $54,737 a year. Incomes here have grown 4.4% a year since 2019. Incomes are rising faster than home prices. Affordability is improving. A typical home costs 6.5 times the median income. Most locals cannot buy. That keeps rental demand deep. It also caps the rent they can pay. A tenant on the median income can pay about $1,368 a month. That is the standard 30% affordability line. Rents above it thin your tenant pool fast.

That is the market, not your address. Run an address through the app to see its rent estimate and cash flow.

What numbers should you underwrite a San Marcos deal with?

  • Price growth to assume — +1.0%/yr. San Marcos grew 4.0% a year over the decade. Ignore that rate. Most of it landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. Without the boom, San Marcos grows about 1.0% a year. That is the number to type in. Prices fell 6.5% over the last year. That is a timing signal, not a trend.
  • Months of carrying cost — 3. A typical home takes 73 days to sell. Budget that long when you exit or refinance. It is 40% slower than a year ago.
  • Odds you cut your price to sell — 1 in 4. About 24% of homes on the San Marcos market right now have already cut their asking price. Assume you are one of them when you sell. Do not underwrite an exit at your asking price.
  • Comp on this, not median price — $203/sqft. The typical San Marcos listing shrank from 2,338 to 1,800 sqft since Jul 2016. So median price hides real growth: 47% per sqft versus 12% on the median. Comp on median price and you will overpay for small homes.
  • Competition when you exit — -7%. That is how much the number of homes for sale shrank in a year. Your resale will face a smaller crowd than today's comps did.
  • Price-to-income ratio — 6.5×. A typical home costs 6.5 times the median income. Most locals cannot buy. That keeps rental demand deep. It also caps the rent they can pay. Incomes are rising faster than home prices. Affordability is improving.
  • Tenant rent ceiling — $1,368/mo. 30% of the median household income of $54,737. Rents above this line shrink your tenant pool fast.
05
Frequently asked questions

Is San Marcos a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in San Marcos right now. 31 out of every 100 homes for sale have a buyer, 24% of sellers have cut their price, and a typical home takes 73 days to sell.

Are San Marcos home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are 32.4% below their Nov 2021 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower.

What price growth should I assume for San Marcos?

Assume +1.0% a year. San Marcos grew 4.0% a year over the decade. Ignore that rate. Most of it landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. Without the boom, San Marcos grows about 1.0% a year. That is the number to type in. Prices fell 6.5% over the last year. That is a timing signal, not a trend.

How fast are homes selling in San Marcos?

A typical San Marcos home takes 73 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 40% slower than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 90+ days ago.

Is San Marcos a renters' market or an owners' market?

Most San Marcos households rent. 62 out of every 100 households are renters. The renter share is growing. Five years ago it was 61 in 100. 7.2% of homes sit empty. That is normal for a healthy market.

What rent can San Marcos tenants afford?

A tenant on the median income can pay about $1,368 a month. That is the standard 30% affordability line. Rents above it thin your tenant pool fast. The median San Marcos household earns $54,737 a year.

06
ZIP-level detail

Which ZIP codes are in San Marcos?

San Marcos has two ZIP codes. Each links to its live market dashboard.

  • 78666430 for sale · 24% cutting · 73 daysOnly 31 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 78667No homes listed for sale right now
07
Where else to look

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