Dynamic.RE · SFR Market Intelligence

Pasadena, Texas Housing Market

Prices, inventory, and demand — distilled every month into one clear verdict: buyer’s market or seller’s. The investor’s read, before you make an offer.

See the full market trends & stats →
Data through June 2026
Dynamic.RE Verdict
Buyer's Market
Under 0.90 buyers per home for sale, sellers compete for buyers. Pasadena sits at 0.42, with 20% of sellers already cutting their price.
Median list price
$266,625
-2.2%
Demand : Supply
0.42
Days on market
46 days
Time to go under contract

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Pasadena right now.

You have the upper hand in Pasadena. Most homes for sale still have no buyer. Many sellers have already dropped their price once. Sellers are competing for you. Use it.

01
The market at a glance
Median $ / sqft
$155
Active inventory
222
New listings / mo
72
Days on market
46 days
Price-cut share
19.6%
Pending sales
94
02
Where we are in the cycle
Median asking price
$266,625
4% below the Oct 2024 peak of $279K
Homes for sale
222
3.6× the May 2021 low of 61
Days to sell
46 days
2.1× slower than the 22-day Apr 2018 low
03
Market context
5.01M
Population
1.92M
Housing units · county
34.6
Median age · county
$302.8K
Avg list price · luxury-skewed
04
What this means for investors

How much can you negotiate in Pasadena?

Only 42 out of every 100 homes for sale have found a buyer. The other 58 are still waiting. Your offer may be the only one on the table. About 1 in 5 sellers has already dropped their price. Each one has learned their first price was too high. Start below their new price, not their old one.

A typical Pasadena home takes 46 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago. There are 222 homes for sale in Pasadena. That is 3.6 times the tightest month on record, but below the peak of 268. Supply is shrinking against last year.

What to do about it

  • Start in 77504, 77505, and 77506. Those are the three softest ZIP codes in Pasadena.
  • Filter for homes listed 60+ days ago that have already cut their price.
  • Offer below the reduced price.
  • Keep your inspection and financing contingencies.
  • In 77504 only 30 out of 100 homes have a buyer. You can lose a few offers there and still win.

Is now a good time to buy in Pasadena?

Asking prices are 4.5% below their Oct 2024 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower. Pasadena prices have risen in 90 of the last 108 months. Drops here have been short and shallow. Buying in a slow month has rarely hurt a long hold.

There is no rush. Prices are still coming down. Watch the homes you like. Come back after they cut. Let the seller move first.

What numbers should you underwrite a Pasadena deal with?

  • Price growth to assume — +3.6%/yr. 1 year: -1.3% · 5 years: +3.6% · ten years: +5.8%. Do not use the ten-year rate. Most of that growth landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. The five-year rate is what Pasadena does without one. Underwrite closer to +3.6%. Measure growth per square foot. Pasadena median list price grew 5.0% a year, but price per square foot grew 5.8%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.
  • Months of carrying cost — 2. A typical home takes 46 days to sell. Budget that long when you exit or refinance.
  • Odds you cut your price to sell — 1 in 5. About 20% of homes on the Pasadena market right now have already cut their asking price. Assume you are one of them when you sell. Do not underwrite an exit at your asking price.
  • Comp on this, not median price — $155/sqft. The average listing runs +14% above the median. Luxury homes skew it. Comp your own size class per sqft.
  • Competition when you exit — -15%. That is how much the number of homes for sale shrank in a year. Your resale will face a smaller crowd than today's comps did.
05
Frequently asked questions

Is Pasadena a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Pasadena right now. 0.42 out of every 100 homes for sale have a buyer, 20% of sellers have cut their price, and a typical home takes 46 days to sell.

Are Pasadena home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are 4.5% below their Oct 2024 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower.

What price growth should I assume for Pasadena?

+3.6%/yr. 1 year: -1.3% · 5 years: +3.6% · ten years: +5.8%. Do not use the ten-year rate. Most of that growth landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. The five-year rate is what Pasadena does without one. Underwrite closer to +3.6%. Measure growth per square foot. Pasadena median list price grew 5.0% a year, but price per square foot grew 5.8%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.

How fast are homes selling in Pasadena?

A typical Pasadena home takes 46 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago.

Which Pasadena ZIP code has the most negotiating room?

77504. Only 30 out of 100 homes there have a buyer, 29% have cut their price, and a typical home takes 55 days to sell.

06
ZIP-level detail

Where buyers have the most leverage in Pasadena

  • 7750443 for sale · 29% cutting · 55 daysOnly 30 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 7750559 for sale · 27% cutting · 34 daysOnly 37 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 7750639 for sale · 12% cutting · 60 daysOnly 52 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 7750252 for sale · 11% cutting · 41 daysOnly 42 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 7750329 for sale · 16% cutting · 50 daysOnly 58 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.

Where it isn't: 77505 ranks #7,426 in the country for buyer demand. Expect the least room to negotiate there.

Where Pasadena prices are climbing fastest

ZIP 77502 is on both lists. That is rare. It is the one place in Pasadena where leverage and growth overlap.

ZIP$/sqft, 2 yrs$/sqft nowBuyers per homeFor sale
77502+5.2%$1510.4252
77506+4.2%$1630.5239
77505+1.7%$1630.3759
77503-4.8%$1500.5829
77504-7.2%$1460.3043

Computed from each ZIP's own ten-year history. ZIPs with fewer than 10 homes for sale are excluded: a median across a handful of listings is noise, not a signal.

07
Where else to look

Markets similar to Pasadena

Closest matches on asking price, price per square foot, days to sell, buyer demand, and price cuts.

  • Conroe, TX — $358,758 median, 46 days, 0.38 buyers per home
  • Baytown, TX — $307,944 median, 48 days, 0.47 buyers per home
  • Amarillo, TX — $304,720 median, 44 days, 0.51 buyers per home
  • Pearland, TX — $410,977 median, 41 days, 0.48 buyers per home
See what a Pasadena property is actually worth
This report shows where the market stands. The Dynamic.RE app shows the deal — estimated rent, cash flow, and yield on any address.
Analyze deals →