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Dynamic.RE · SFR Market Intelligence

Burnsville, Minnesota Housing Market

Prices, inventory, and demand — distilled every month into one clear verdict: buyer’s market or seller’s. The investor’s read, before you make an offer.

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Data through June 2026
Dynamic.RE Verdict
Balanced Market
Between 0.90 and 1.10 buyers per home for sale, neither side sets the price. Burnsville sits at 0.81, with 14% of sellers cutting.
Median list price
$353,472
-8.3%
Demand : Supply
0.81
Days on market
27 days
Time to go under contract

Only on the right house. Neither side has the upper hand in Burnsville right now.

Neither side has the upper hand in Burnsville. Buyers and sellers are evenly matched. The market will not hand you a discount. You have to find it in one specific listing.

01
The market at a glance
Median $ / sqft
$176
Active inventory
121
New listings / mo
122
Days on market
27 days
Price-cut share
13.9%
Pending sales
98
02
Where we are in the cycle
Median asking price
$353,472
8% below the Aug 2023 peak of $386K
Homes for sale
121
4.8× the Mar 2023 low of 25
Days to sell
27 days
2.2× slower than the 12-day May 2022 low
03
The renter economy
35%
Renter share · of occupied homes
2.5%
Vacant homes · all units
$88.3K
Median household income
4.0×
Price-to-income · list ÷ income
04
What this means for investors

How much can you negotiate in Burnsville?

Only 81 out of every 100 homes for sale have found a buyer. The other 19 are still waiting. Your offer may be the only one on the table. Few sellers are dropping their price. Asking prices are holding firm. Your discount will come from one stale listing, not from the whole market.

A typical Burnsville home takes 27 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 6% faster than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 30+ days ago. There are 121 homes for sale in Burnsville. That is 4.8 times the tightest month on record, but below the peak of 163. Supply is growing against last year.

What to do about it

  • Judge the listing, not the market.
  • Homes listed 30+ days ago with a price cut are where your discount is.
  • Fresh, well-priced homes will not move on price. Do not waste offers on them.

Is now a good time to buy in Burnsville?

Asking prices are 8.3% below their Aug 2023 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower. Burnsville prices have risen in 87 of the last 108 months. Drops here have been short and shallow. Buying in a slow month has rarely hurt a long hold.

This market is turning. Which way is not settled yet. Check the monthly numbers above before you commit.

Who will rent from you in Burnsville?

In Burnsville, 35 out of every 100 households rent. Most own their home. That share has held steady for five years. Renter households average 2.3 people. Two and three bedrooms fit the typical renter.

Households grew 5% in five years. The housing stock grew 3%. Demand is outrunning supply. Just 2.5% of homes sit empty. A well-priced rental fills fast here.

The median Burnsville household earns $88,294 a year. Incomes here have grown 3.7% a year since 2019. Incomes are rising faster than home prices. Affordability is improving. A typical home costs 4.0 times the median income. That is the national middle. Neither cash flow nor appreciation is free here. A tenant on the median income can pay about $2,207 a month. That is the standard 30% affordability line. Rents above it thin your tenant pool fast.

That is the market, not your address. Run an address through the app to see its rent estimate and cash flow.

What numbers should you underwrite a Burnsville deal with?

  • Price growth to assume — +2.0%/yr. Burnsville grew 4.1% a year over the decade. Ignore that rate. Most of it landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. Without the boom, Burnsville grows about 2.0% a year. That is the number to type in. Prices rose 2.4% over the last year. That is a timing signal, not a trend.
  • Months of carrying cost — 1. A typical home takes 27 days to sell. Budget that long when you exit or refinance.
  • Odds you cut your price to sell — 1 in 7. About 14% of homes on the Burnsville market right now have already cut their asking price. Assume you are one of them when you sell. Do not underwrite an exit at your asking price.
  • Comp on this, not median price — $176/sqft. The typical Burnsville listing shrank from 2,192 to 1,867 sqft since Jul 2016. So median price hides real growth: 49% per sqft versus 31% on the median. Comp on median price and you will overpay for small homes.
  • Competition when you exit — +44%. That is how much the number of homes for sale grew in a year. Your resale will face a bigger crowd than today's comps did.
  • Price-to-income ratio — 4.0×. A typical home costs 4.0 times the median income. That is the national middle. Neither cash flow nor appreciation is free here. Incomes are rising faster than home prices. Affordability is improving.
  • Tenant rent ceiling — $2,207/mo. 30% of the median household income of $88,294. Rents above this line shrink your tenant pool fast.
05
Frequently asked questions

Is Burnsville a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Only on the right house. Neither side has the upper hand in Burnsville right now. 81 out of every 100 homes for sale have a buyer, 14% of sellers have cut their price, and a typical home takes 27 days to sell.

Are Burnsville home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are 8.3% below their Aug 2023 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower.

What price growth should I assume for Burnsville?

Assume +2.0% a year. Burnsville grew 4.1% a year over the decade. Ignore that rate. Most of it landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. Without the boom, Burnsville grows about 2.0% a year. That is the number to type in. Prices rose 2.4% over the last year. That is a timing signal, not a trend.

How fast are homes selling in Burnsville?

A typical Burnsville home takes 27 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 6% faster than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 30+ days ago.

Is Burnsville a renters' market or an owners' market?

In Burnsville, 35 out of every 100 households rent. Most own their home. That share has held steady for five years. Just 2.5% of homes sit empty. A well-priced rental fills fast here.

What rent can Burnsville tenants afford?

A tenant on the median income can pay about $2,207 a month. That is the standard 30% affordability line. Rents above it thin your tenant pool fast. The median Burnsville household earns $88,294 a year.

06
ZIP-level detail

Which ZIP codes are in Burnsville?

Burnsville has two ZIP codes. Each links to its live market dashboard.

  • 5530635 for sale · 18% cutting · 26 daysOnly 80 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 5533786 for sale · 12% cutting · 28 daysOnly 81 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
07
Where else to look

Markets similar to Burnsville

Closest matches on asking price, price per square foot, days to sell, buyer demand, and price cuts.

See what a Burnsville property is actually worth
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