Keller, Texas Housing Market

How much can you negotiate in Keller?

Only 52 out of every 100 homes for sale have found a buyer. The other 48 are still waiting. Your offer may be the only one on the table. About 1 in 3 sellers has already dropped their price. Each one has learned their first price was too high. Start below their new price, not their old one.

A typical Keller home takes 40 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago. There are 310 homes for sale in Keller. That is 8.4 times the tightest month on record, but below the peak of 471. Supply is steady against last year.

What to do about it

• Search Keller homes listed 60+ days ago that have already cut their price.
• Offer below the reduced price.
• Keep your inspection and financing contingencies.
• Ask the seller to pay closing costs.
• You can lose a few offers here and still win.

Is now a good time to buy in Keller?

Asking prices are 4.8% below their May 2022 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices stopped falling about a year ago. They are flat now. Waiting will not get you a cheaper house. It might still get you a more motivated seller. Keller prices have risen in 80 of the last 108 months. Drops here have been short and shallow. Buying in a slow month has rarely hurt a long hold.

The discount is already here. It is not getting bigger. Buy now while sellers are still weak. Waiting for a lower price stopped working a year ago.

What numbers should you underwrite a Keller deal with?

• Price growth to assume — +3.3%/yr. 1 year: +1.1% · 5 years: +3.3% · ten years: +5.0%. The five-year and ten-year rates agree. That is a durable trend, not a boom artifact. It is a fair long-run input. Measure growth per square foot. Keller median list price grew 3.2% a year, but price per square foot grew 5.0%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.
• Months of carrying cost — 2. A typical home takes 40 days to sell. Budget that long when you exit or refinance.
• Odds you cut your price to sell — 1 in 3. About 30% of homes on the Keller market right now have already cut their asking price. Assume you are one of them when you sell. Do not underwrite an exit at your asking price.
• Comp on this, not median price — $196/sqft. The typical Keller listing shrank from 3,188 to 2,821 sqft since Jul 2016. So median price hides real growth: 62% per sqft versus 37% on the median. Comp on median price and you will overpay for small homes.
• Competition when you exit — -2%. The number of homes for sale barely moved in a year. Today's comps are a fair guide to your exit.

Is Keller a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Keller right now. 0.52 out of every 100 homes for sale have a buyer, 30% of sellers have cut their price, and a typical home takes 40 days to sell.

Are Keller home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are 4.8% below their May 2022 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices stopped falling about a year ago. They are flat now. Waiting will not get you a cheaper house. It might still get you a more motivated seller.

What price growth should I assume for Keller?

+3.3%/yr. 1 year: +1.1% · 5 years: +3.3% · ten years: +5.0%. The five-year and ten-year rates agree. That is a durable trend, not a boom artifact. It is a fair long-run input. Measure growth per square foot. Keller median list price grew 3.2% a year, but price per square foot grew 5.0%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.

How fast are homes selling in Keller?

A typical Keller home takes 40 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago.