Dynamic.RE · SFR Market Intelligence

Denton, Texas Housing Market

Prices, inventory, and demand — distilled every month into one clear verdict: buyer’s market or seller’s. The investor’s read, before you make an offer.

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Data through June 2026
Dynamic.RE Verdict
Buyer's Market
Under 0.90 buyers per home for sale, sellers compete for buyers. Denton sits at 0.41, with 31% of sellers already cutting their price.
Median list price
$423,617
+1.2%
Demand : Supply
0.41
Days on market
49 days
Time to go under contract

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Denton right now.

You have the upper hand in Denton. Most homes for sale still have no buyer. Many sellers have already dropped their price once. Sellers are competing for you. Use it.

01
The market at a glance
Median $ / sqft
$202
Active inventory
544
New listings / mo
232
Days on market
49 days
Price-cut share
30.5%
Pending sales
225
02
Where we are in the cycle
Median asking price
$423,617
12% below the Apr 2023 peak of $480K
Homes for sale
544
12.7× the Feb 2022 low of 43
Days to sell
49 days
3.5× slower than the 14-day May 2022 low
03
Market context
1.05M
Population
376.8K
Housing units · county
37.0
Median age · county
$514.2K
Avg list price · luxury-skewed
04
What this means for investors

How much can you negotiate in Denton?

Only 41 out of every 100 homes for sale have found a buyer. The other 59 are still waiting. Your offer may be the only one on the table. About 1 in 3 sellers has already dropped their price. Each one has learned their first price was too high. Start below their new price, not their old one.

A typical Denton home takes 49 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago. There are 544 homes for sale in Denton. That is 12.7 times the tightest month on record, but below the peak of 610. Supply is shrinking against last year.

What to do about it

  • Start in 76201, 76208, and 76210. Those are the three softest ZIP codes in Denton.
  • Filter for homes listed 60+ days ago that have already cut their price.
  • Offer below the reduced price.
  • Keep your inspection and financing contingencies.
  • In 76201 only 29 out of 100 homes have a buyer. You can lose a few offers there and still win.

Is now a good time to buy in Denton?

Asking prices are 11.7% below their Apr 2023 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices stopped falling about a year ago. They are flat now. Waiting will not get you a cheaper house. It might still get you a more motivated seller. Denton prices have risen in 78 of the last 108 months. Drops here have been short and shallow. Buying in a slow month has rarely hurt a long hold.

The discount is already here. It is not getting bigger. Buy now while sellers are still weak. Waiting for a lower price stopped working a year ago.

What numbers should you underwrite a Denton deal with?

  • Price growth to assume — +3.8%/yr. 1 year: -0.2% · 5 years: +3.8% · ten years: +5.4%. The five-year and ten-year rates agree. That is a durable trend, not a boom artifact. It is a fair long-run input. Measure growth per square foot. Denton median list price grew 3.1% a year, but price per square foot grew 5.4%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.
  • Months of carrying cost — 2. A typical home takes 49 days to sell. Budget that long when you exit or refinance.
  • Odds you cut your price to sell — 1 in 3. About 31% of homes on the Denton market right now have already cut their asking price. Assume you are one of them when you sell. Do not underwrite an exit at your asking price.
  • Comp on this, not median price — $202/sqft. The typical Denton listing shrank from 2,592 to 2,215 sqft since Jul 2016. So median price hides real growth: 69% per sqft versus 35% on the median. Comp on median price and you will overpay for small homes.
  • Competition when you exit — -4%. That is how much the number of homes for sale shrank in a year. Your resale will face a smaller crowd than today's comps did.
05
Frequently asked questions

Is Denton a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Denton right now. 0.41 out of every 100 homes for sale have a buyer, 31% of sellers have cut their price, and a typical home takes 49 days to sell.

Are Denton home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are 11.7% below their Apr 2023 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices stopped falling about a year ago. They are flat now. Waiting will not get you a cheaper house. It might still get you a more motivated seller.

What price growth should I assume for Denton?

+3.8%/yr. 1 year: -0.2% · 5 years: +3.8% · ten years: +5.4%. The five-year and ten-year rates agree. That is a durable trend, not a boom artifact. It is a fair long-run input. Measure growth per square foot. Denton median list price grew 3.1% a year, but price per square foot grew 5.4%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.

How fast are homes selling in Denton?

A typical Denton home takes 49 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago.

Which Denton ZIP code has the most negotiating room?

76201. Only 29 out of 100 homes there have a buyer, 22% have cut their price, and a typical home takes 59 days to sell.

06
ZIP-level detail

Where buyers have the most leverage in Denton

  • 7620144 for sale · 22% cutting · 59 daysOnly 29 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 7620887 for sale · 35% cutting · 50 daysOnly 37 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 76210172 for sale · 36% cutting · 48 daysOnly 42 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 7620553 for sale · 29% cutting · 48 daysOnly 39 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 7620964 for sale · 34% cutting · 51 daysOnly 54 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.

Where it isn't: 76207 ranks #5,231 in the country for buyer demand. Expect the least room to negotiate there.

Where Denton prices are climbing fastest

ZIP 76205 is on both lists. That is rare. It is the one place in Denton where leverage and growth overlap.

ZIP$/sqft, 2 yrs$/sqft nowBuyers per homeFor sale
76208+1.7%$1950.3787
76207+1.5%$2330.42124
76209-0.5%$2020.5464
76210-2.3%$1860.42172
76205-6.2%$1950.3953

Computed from each ZIP's own ten-year history. ZIPs with fewer than 10 homes for sale are excluded: a median across a handful of listings is noise, not a signal.

07
Where else to look

Markets similar to Denton

Closest matches on asking price, price per square foot, days to sell, buyer demand, and price cuts.

  • Round Rock, TX — $438,069 median, 48 days, 0.35 buyers per home
  • Irving, TX — $471,695 median, 47 days, 0.30 buyers per home
  • Arlington, TX — $362,456 median, 46 days, 0.42 buyers per home
  • Mckinney, TX — $539,681 median, 49 days, 0.45 buyers per home
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