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Dynamic.RE · SFR Market Intelligence

Santa Maria, California Housing Market

Prices, inventory, and demand — distilled every month into one clear verdict: buyer’s market or seller’s. The investor’s read, before you make an offer.

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Data through
Sep 2026
Dynamic.RE Verdict
Balanced Market
Neither side has the edge. We compare Santa Maria with 2017–2019 at this time of year: there are 29% fewer homes for sale; there are 48 pending sales per 100 listings, against 35 then; 24% of sellers have cut their price, against 26% then.
Median list price
$760,018
+4.5%
Demand : Supply
0.48
Days on market
46 days
Time to go under contract

The median asking price in Santa Maria is about $760,000 as of Sep 2026, up 4.5% from a year ago. That is the asking price on listed homes, so sold-price and home-value sites show different numbers (why).

Only on the right house. Neither side has the upper hand in Santa Maria right now. Santa Maria is close to its 2017–2019 normal for this time of year. The market will not hand you a discount. You have to find it in one specific listing.

01
The market at a glance
Median $ / sqft
$423
Active inventory
143
New listings / mo
88
Days on market
46 days
Price-cut share
23.7%
Pending sales
69
02
Where we are in the cycle
Median asking price
$760,018
At its highest point on record
Homes for sale
143
3.8× the Apr 2023 low of 38
Days to sell
46 days
3.0× the 16-day Mar 2022 low
03
The renter economy
42%
Renter share · of occupied homes
3.3%
Vacant homes · all units
$90.2K
Median household income
8.3×
Price-to-income · list ÷ income
04
What this means for investors

What stands out in Santa Maria?

  • Homes for sale are up 86% on last year: among the fastest inventory growth of 765 tracked cities. Supply is building fast, which shifts leverage to buyers.
  • 3.3% of homes are vacant: among the lowest vacancy of 765 tracked cities. Empty homes are scarce, so well-priced rentals fill.
  • Prices were above the year before in 91% of months: among the most consistent price growth of 765 tracked cities. Drops here have been short.

Why is Santa Maria still competitive?

Santa Maria has 29% fewer homes for sale than in 2017–2019 at this time of year, and the typical listing has been on the market 46 days, shorter than 74% of the 765 cities we track. For every 100 homes still for sale, 48 are under contract. Well-priced homes will draw more than one offer. Your discount is in the listing that has sat, so set a price alert and move when a stale one gets cut.

Is now a good time to buy in Santa Maria?

Asking prices are at their highest point on record. You are buying at the top. Underwrite it that way. Prices stopped falling about a year ago. They are flat now. Waiting will not get you a cheaper house. It might still get you a more motivated seller. Santa Maria prices have risen in 101 of the last 111 months. Drops here have been short and shallow. Buying in a slow month has rarely hurt a long hold.

This market is turning. Which way is not settled yet. Check the monthly numbers above before you commit.

How much can you negotiate in Santa Maria?

For every 100 homes still for sale, 48 are under contract. In 2017–2019 at this time of year it was 35. The rest are still waiting for a buyer. About 1 in 4 sellers has already dropped their price. Each one has learned their first price was too high. Start your offer below their new price.

The typical Santa Maria listing has been on the market 46 days. That is 12% shorter than a year ago. There are 143 homes for sale in Santa Maria. That is 3.8 times the tightest month on record, but below the peak of 240. Supply is growing against last year.

What to do about it

  • Judge each listing on its own.
  • Homes listed 60+ days ago with a price cut are where your discount is.
  • Fresh, well-priced homes will not move on price. Do not waste offers on them.

What is the fair market rent in Santa Maria?

HUD sets one fair market rent for Santa Barbara County. For fiscal year 2026:

  • 1 bedroom: $2,746 a month. Up 2% on last year, up 124% since FY2016.
  • 2 bedrooms: $3,124 a month. Up 3% on last year, up 115% since FY2016.
  • 3 bedrooms: $4,075 a month. Up 2% on last year, up 104% since FY2016.
  • 4 bedrooms: $4,647 a month. Up 4% on last year, up 101% since FY2016.

The figures include tenant-paid utilities and apply to all of Santa Barbara County, so one home's rent can sit well above or below them. See fair market rent by city.

Who will rent from you in Santa Maria?

In Santa Maria, 42 out of every 100 households rent. That is nearly half. That share has held steady for five years. Renter households here average 3.9 people. Families rent here. Buy bedrooms. Studios will sit.

Households grew 3% in five years. The housing stock grew 2%. Demand is outrunning supply. Just 3.3% of homes sit empty. A well-priced rental fills fast here.

The median Santa Maria household earns $90,239 a year. Incomes here have grown 4.6% a year since 2019. Incomes and home prices are rising in step. A typical home costs 8.4 times the median income. Most locals cannot buy. That keeps rental demand deep. It also caps the rent they can pay. At 30% of income, a tenant on the median income can pay about $2,256 a month.

To see what one Santa Maria address would rent for and cash flow, run it through the app.

What numbers should you underwrite a Santa Maria deal with?

  • Price growth to assume — +4.9%/yr. Santa Maria has grown about 4.9% a year for five years and for ten. That pace held before and after the 2020–2021 boom, so it is a fair long-run input. Prices rose 0.9% over the last year. Use it for timing. The five-year rate is the better guide.
  • Competition when you exit — +86%. Homes for sale in Santa Maria are up 86% on last year, so your resale faces more competition than today's comps did.

Read how the pending ratio measures demand and how we read these numbers, then run the numbers on a deal.

05
Frequently asked questions

What is the median home price in Santa Maria?

The median asking price in Santa Maria is about $760,000 as of Sep 2026, up 4.5% from a year ago. This is the asking price on homes listed for sale. Sites that report sold prices or estimated home values will show a different number. Our Santa Maria figures cover the 5 ZIP codes with a Santa Maria mailing address, which can reach past city limits.

Is Santa Maria a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Neither side has the upper hand in Santa Maria right now. We compare Santa Maria with 2017–2019 at this time of year: there are 29% fewer homes for sale; there are 48 pending sales per 100 listings, against 35 then; 24% of sellers have cut their price, against 26% then.

Are Santa Maria home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are at their highest point on record. You are buying at the top. Underwrite it that way. Prices stopped falling about a year ago. They are flat now. Waiting will not get you a cheaper house. It might still get you a more motivated seller.

What is the best month to buy a house in Santa Maria?

Across 9 full years, Santa Maria asking prices ran lowest in March, about 4.7% below the year's average. They peaked in August. The most homes for sale show up in July, about 12% above the yearly average.

What is the fair market rent in Santa Maria?

HUD's fiscal year 2026 fair market rent for Santa Barbara County is $3,124 a month for 2 bedrooms and $4,075 for 3 bedrooms. The figures include tenant-paid utilities and cover the whole county.

06
ZIP-level detail

Which ZIP codes are in Santa Maria?

Santa Maria has five ZIP codes. Each links to its live market dashboard.

  • 9345437 for sale · 22% cutting · 57 daysOnly 53 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9345583 for sale · 24% cutting · 45 daysOnly 52 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 934561 for saleToo few listings to read the market. The dashboard has the history.
  • 93457No homes listed for sale right now
  • 9345823 for sale · 26% cutting · 33 daysOnly 24 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
07
Where else to look

Markets similar to Santa Maria

Closest matches on asking price, price per square foot, time on market, buyer demand, and price cuts.

  • Lincoln, CA — $675,000 median, 51 days on market, 24% of sellers cutting
  • Lodi, CA — $611,448 median, 49 days on market, 27% of sellers cutting
  • Sacramento, CA — $490,657 median, 48 days on market, 23% of sellers cutting
  • Anaheim, CA — $932,379 median, 49 days on market, 25% of sellers cutting
See what a Santa Maria property is actually worth
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