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Dynamic.RE · SFR Market Intelligence

San Francisco, California Housing Market

Prices, inventory, and demand — distilled every month into one clear verdict: buyer’s market or seller’s. The investor’s read, before you make an offer.

See the full market trends & stats →
Data through
Sep 2026
Dynamic.RE Verdict
Balanced Market
Neither side has the edge. We compare San Francisco with 2017–2019 at this time of year: 3% of sellers have cut their price, against 9% then; the typical listing has been up 107% more days; there are 14% fewer homes for sale.
Median list price
$1,160,541
+2.4%
Demand : Supply
0.49
Days on market
52 days
Time to go under contract

The median asking price in San Francisco is about $1,161,000 as of Sep 2026, up 2.4% from a year ago. That is the asking price on listed homes, so sold-price and home-value sites show different numbers (why).

Only on the right house. Neither side has the upper hand in San Francisco right now. The signals split. Compared with 2017–2019 at this time of year, 3% of sellers have cut their price, against 9% then, but the typical listing has been up 107% more days. The market will not hand you a discount. You have to find it in one specific listing.

01
The market at a glance
Median $ / sqft
$1,009
Active inventory
680
New listings / mo
690
Days on market
52 days
Price-cut share
3.1%
Pending sales
331
02
Where we are in the cycle
Median asking price
$1,160,541
26% below the Mar 2020 peak of $1574K
Homes for sale
680
2.0× the Jan 2018 low of 348
Days to sell
52 days
2.5× the 21-day Sep 2018 low
03
The renter economy
62%
Renter share · of occupied homes
12.2%
Vacant homes · all units
$144.2K
Median household income
9.2×
Price-to-income · list ÷ income
04
What this means for investors

What stands out in San Francisco?

  • 3% of sellers have cut their price: among the lowest share of price cuts of 765 tracked cities. Sellers are holding firm on price.
  • Homes for sale are down 30% on last year: among the sharpest inventory declines of 765 tracked cities. Supply is shrinking, which shifts leverage to sellers.
  • Prices were above the year before in 46% of months: among the least consistent price growth of 765 tracked cities. Price growth here is unreliable. Do not count on it.

Are San Francisco price gains broad or limited to a few ZIP codes?

Asking price per square foot in San Francisco is up 3.6% over the last year. 16 of the 20 ZIP codes with at least 10 listings rose. 94133 led at up 30.5%, and 94103 trailed at down 13.0%. Broad gains like these are harder to fade. Over five years the pace has been -1.4% a year. Underwrite closer to that than to the last twelve months.

What does a shrinking population mean for San Francisco landlords?

The population in San Francisco's ZIP codes fell 5.1% over five years. 12.2% of homes are vacant, higher than 83% of tracked cities. Households still grew 0.5% while the housing stock grew 4.2%. Fewer people living in more households means rental demand has held up better than the population suggests. Check vacancy by ZIP before you buy.

How does San Francisco compare with other California markets?

Ranked among the 141 California markets we track:

  • Asking price: 33rd priciest of 141. San Francisco is at $1,160,541. Closest: Chino Hills and Glendale.
  • Buyer competition: 27th most competitive of 138. San Francisco is at 0.49 buyers per home. Closest: Oceanside and Antioch.
  • Time on market: 63rd longest time on market of 141. San Francisco is at a median of 52 days on market. Closest: San Clemente and San Jacinto.
  • Price cuts: the fewest price cuts of 141. San Francisco is at 3% of sellers cutting. Closest: Malibu.

Is now a good time to buy in San Francisco?

The median asking price is 26.3% below its Mar 2020 peak. Per square foot the gap is smaller: 15.9% below the Jan 2020 high. Part of the drop is smaller homes coming to market. Prices are rising again. Every month you wait costs money. The question is no longer when. It is which house. San Francisco prices rose in just 51 of 111 months. Prices here mostly do not grow. Buy this market for rent income.

This market is turning. Which way is not settled yet. Check the monthly numbers above before you commit.

How much can you negotiate in San Francisco?

For every 100 homes still for sale, 49 are under contract. In 2017–2019 at this time of year it was 48. The rest are still waiting for a buyer. Few sellers are dropping their price. Asking prices are holding firm. Your discount will come from one stale listing.

The typical San Francisco listing has been on the market 52 days. That is 18% shorter than a year ago. There are 680 homes for sale in San Francisco. That is 2.0 times the tightest month on record, but below the peak of 1,834. Supply is shrinking against last year.

What to do about it

  • Start in 94105, 94103, and 94109, where sellers are weakest: in 94105, 5% of sellers have cut and the typical listing has been up 94 days.
  • Look for listings older than 60 days with a price cut.

What is the fair market rent in San Francisco?

HUD sets one fair market rent for San Francisco County. For fiscal year 2026:

  • 1 bedroom: $2,977 a month. Up 7% on last year, up 64% since FY2016.
  • 2 bedrooms: $3,604 a month. Up 9% on last year, up 57% since FY2016.
  • 3 bedrooms: $4,604 a month. Up 11% on last year, up 54% since FY2016.
  • 4 bedrooms: $4,772 a month. Up 8% on last year, up 34% since FY2016.

The figures include tenant-paid utilities and apply to all of San Francisco County, so one home's rent can sit well above or below them. See fair market rent by city.

What numbers should you underwrite a San Francisco deal with?

  • Price growth to assume — -1.4%/yr. San Francisco has grown about 1.4% a year for five years and for ten. That pace held before and after the 2020–2021 boom, so it is a fair long-run input. Prices rose 3.6% over the last year. Use it for timing. The five-year rate is the better guide.
  • Competition when you exit — -30%. Homes for sale in San Francisco are down 30% on last year, so your resale faces less competition than today's comps did.

Read cash flow versus appreciation and how we read these numbers, then run the numbers on a deal.

05
Frequently asked questions

What is the median home price in San Francisco?

The median asking price in San Francisco is about $1,161,000 as of Sep 2026, up 2.4% from a year ago. This is the asking price on homes listed for sale. Sites that report sold prices or estimated home values will show a different number. Our San Francisco figures cover the 39 ZIP codes with a San Francisco mailing address, which can reach past city limits.

Is San Francisco a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Neither side has the upper hand in San Francisco right now. We compare San Francisco with 2017–2019 at this time of year: 3% of sellers have cut their price, against 9% then; the typical listing has been up 107% more days; there are 14% fewer homes for sale.

Are San Francisco home prices going up or down?

The median asking price is 26.3% below its Mar 2020 peak. Per square foot the gap is smaller: 15.9% below the Jan 2020 high. Part of the drop is smaller homes coming to market. Prices are rising again. Every month you wait costs money. The question is no longer when. It is which house.

Is San Francisco a renters' market or an owners' market?

Most San Francisco households rent. 62 out of every 100 households are renters. That share has held steady for five years. 12.2% of homes sit empty. Tenants have options. Budget extra weeks of vacancy between leases.

What rent can San Francisco tenants afford?

At 30% of income, a tenant on the median income can pay about $3,604 a month. The median San Francisco household earns $144,151 a year.

Which San Francisco ZIP code has the most negotiating room?

94105. Only 32 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale. 5% of sellers there have cut their price, and the typical listing has been up 94 days.

What is the best month to buy a house in San Francisco?

Across 9 full years, San Francisco asking prices ran lowest in January, about 3.1% below the year's average. They peaked in May. The most homes for sale show up in October, about 36% above the yearly average.

What price growth should I assume for San Francisco?

Assume -1.4% a year. San Francisco has grown about 1.4% a year for five years and for ten. That pace held before and after the 2020–2021 boom, so it is a fair long-run input. Prices rose 3.6% over the last year. Use it for timing. The five-year rate is the better guide.

What is the fair market rent in San Francisco?

HUD's fiscal year 2026 fair market rent for San Francisco County is $3,604 a month for 2 bedrooms and $4,604 for 3 bedrooms. The figures include tenant-paid utilities and cover the whole county.

06
ZIP-level detail

Where buyers have the most leverage in San Francisco

  • 9410555 for sale · 5% cutting · 94 daysOnly 32 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9410360 for sale · 6% cutting · 61 daysOnly 27 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9410969 for sale · 7% cutting · 58 daysOnly 33 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9413316 for sale · 4% cutting · 78 daysOnly 35 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9412441 for sale · 5% cutting · 55 daysOnly 27 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.

Where San Francisco prices are climbing fastest

ZIP 94105 is on both lists. That is rare. It is the one place in San Francisco where leverage and growth overlap.

ZIP$/sqft, 2 yrs$/sqft nowBuyers per homeFor sale
94118+14.5%$1,1540.6920
94105+10.5%$1,3000.3255
94122+8.9%$9380.7617
94134+7.2%$6620.4526
94116+7.0%$8601.0813

Computed from each ZIP's own ten-year history. ZIPs with fewer than 10 homes for sale are excluded: a median across a handful of listings is noise, not a signal.

Which ZIP codes are in San Francisco?

San Francisco has 39 ZIP codes. Each links to its live market dashboard.

  • 9410233 for sale · 0% cutting · 58 daysOnly 26 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9410360 for sale · 6% cutting · 61 daysOnly 27 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 941046 for saleToo few listings to read the market. The dashboard has the history.
  • 9410555 for sale · 5% cutting · 94 daysOnly 32 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9410762 for sale · 1% cutting · 40 daysOnly 47 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 941088 for saleToo few listings to read the market. The dashboard has the history.
  • 9410969 for sale · 7% cutting · 58 daysOnly 33 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9411051 for sale · 5% cutting · 43 daysOnly 45 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 941117 for saleToo few listings to read the market. The dashboard has the history.
  • 9411233 for sale · 4% cutting · 39 daysOnly 79 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9411430 for sale · 2% cutting · 35 daysOnly 45 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9411518 for sale · 4% cutting · 51 daysOnly 78 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9411613 for sale · 0% cutting · 43 days108 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale. Supply and demand are balanced.
  • 9411715 for sale · 0% cutting · 42 daysOnly 69 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9411820 for sale · 3% cutting · 24 daysOnly 69 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 94119No homes listed for sale right now
  • 9412125 for sale · 0% cutting · 31 daysOnly 55 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9412217 for sale · 0% cutting · 41 daysOnly 76 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9412311 for sale · 0% cutting · 61 daysOnly 52 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9412441 for sale · 5% cutting · 55 daysOnly 27 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 94125No homes listed for sale right now
  • 94126No homes listed for sale right now
  • 941279 for saleToo few listings to read the market. The dashboard has the history.
  • 94128No homes listed for sale right now
  • 94129No homes listed for sale right now
  • 9413011 for sale · 0% cutting · 50 daysOnly 9 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9413128 for sale · 0% cutting · 38 daysOnly 62 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 941328 for saleToo few listings to read the market. The dashboard has the history.
  • 9413316 for sale · 4% cutting · 78 daysOnly 35 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 9413426 for sale · 4% cutting · 48 daysOnly 45 homes under contract for every 100 still for sale.
  • 94140No homes listed for sale right now
  • 94141No homes listed for sale right now
  • 94143No homes listed for sale right now
  • 94146No homes listed for sale right now
  • 94147No homes listed for sale right now
  • 941588 for saleToo few listings to read the market. The dashboard has the history.
  • 94159No homes listed for sale right now
  • 94164No homes listed for sale right now
  • 94188No homes listed for sale right now
07
Where else to look

Markets similar to San Francisco

Closest matches on asking price, price per square foot, time on market, buyer demand, and price cuts.

  • Santa Monica, CA — $1,778,985 median, 48 days on market, 12% of sellers cutting
  • San Mateo, CA — $1,323,045 median, 31 days on market, 10% of sellers cutting
  • San Clemente, CA — $2,301,556 median, 52 days on market, 14% of sellers cutting
  • Oakland, CA — $647,474 median, 37 days on market, 9% of sellers cutting
See what a San Francisco property is actually worth
This report shows where the market stands. The Dynamic.RE app shows the deal — estimated rent, cash flow, and yield on any address.
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