Livermore, California Housing Market

How much can you negotiate in Livermore?

Only 48 out of every 100 homes for sale have found a buyer. The other 52 are still waiting. Your offer may be the only one on the table. Few sellers are dropping their price. Asking prices are holding firm. Your discount will come from one stale listing, not from the whole market.

A typical Livermore home takes 29 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 17% faster than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 30+ days ago. There are 156 homes for sale in Livermore. That is 6.5 times the tightest month on record, but below the peak of 179. Supply is shrinking against last year.

What to do about it

• Search Livermore homes listed 30+ days ago that have already cut their price.
• Offer below the reduced price.
• Keep your inspection and financing contingencies.
• Ask the seller to pay closing costs.
• You can lose a few offers here and still win.

Is now a good time to buy in Livermore?

Asking prices are 15.2% below their Aug 2023 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower. Livermore prices rose in only 70 of the last 108 months. This market goes up and down. Timing matters here. Growth will not rescue a bad price.

There is no rush. Prices are still coming down. Watch the homes you like. Come back after they cut. Let the seller move first.

Who will rent from you in Livermore?

In Livermore, 28 out of every 100 households rent. Most own their home. The renter share is growing. Five years ago it was 26 in 100. Renter households average 2.5 people. Two and three bedrooms fit the typical renter.

Households shrank 7% in five years. The housing stock shrank 7%. The two are moving in step. Just 3.4% of homes sit empty. A well-priced rental fills fast here.

The median Livermore household earns $164,782 a year. Incomes here have grown 4.9% a year since 2019. Incomes are rising faster than home prices. Affordability is improving. A typical home costs 6.6 times the median income. Most locals cannot buy. That keeps rental demand deep. It also caps the rent they can pay. A tenant on the median income can pay about $4,120 a month. That is the standard 30% affordability line. Rents above it thin your tenant pool fast.

That is the market, not your address. Run an address through the app to see its rent estimate and cash flow.

What numbers should you underwrite a Livermore deal with?

• Price growth to assume — +2.3%/yr. Livermore grew 4.9% a year over the decade. Ignore that rate. Most of it landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. Without the boom, Livermore grows about 2.3% a year. That is the number to type in. Prices fell 6.0% over the last year. That is a timing signal, not a trend.
• Months of carrying cost — 1. A typical home takes 29 days to sell. Budget that long when you exit or refinance.
• Odds you cut your price to sell — 1 in 6. About 16% of homes on the Livermore market right now have already cut their asking price. Assume you are one of them when you sell. Do not underwrite an exit at your asking price.
• Comp on this, not median price — $648/sqft. The typical Livermore listing shrank from 1,906 to 1,724 sqft since Jul 2016. So median price hides real growth: 61% per sqft versus 40% on the median. Comp on median price and you will overpay for small homes.
• Competition when you exit — -4%. That is how much the number of homes for sale shrank in a year. Your resale will face a smaller crowd than today's comps did.
• Price-to-income ratio — 6.6×. A typical home costs 6.6 times the median income. Most locals cannot buy. That keeps rental demand deep. It also caps the rent they can pay. Incomes are rising faster than home prices. Affordability is improving.
• Tenant rent ceiling — $4,120/mo. 30% of the median household income of $164,782. Rents above this line shrink your tenant pool fast.

Is Livermore a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Livermore right now. 48 out of every 100 homes for sale have a buyer, 16% of sellers have cut their price, and a typical home takes 29 days to sell.

Are Livermore home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are 15.2% below their Aug 2023 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower.

What price growth should I assume for Livermore?

Assume +2.3% a year. Livermore grew 4.9% a year over the decade. Ignore that rate. Most of it landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. Without the boom, Livermore grows about 2.3% a year. That is the number to type in. Prices fell 6.0% over the last year. That is a timing signal, not a trend.

How fast are homes selling in Livermore?

A typical Livermore home takes 29 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 17% faster than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 30+ days ago.

Is Livermore a renters' market or an owners' market?

In Livermore, 28 out of every 100 households rent. Most own their home. The renter share is growing. Five years ago it was 26 in 100. Just 3.4% of homes sit empty. A well-priced rental fills fast here.

What rent can Livermore tenants afford?

A tenant on the median income can pay about $4,120 a month. That is the standard 30% affordability line. Rents above it thin your tenant pool fast. The median Livermore household earns $164,782 a year.