Dillon, Colorado Housing Market

How much can you negotiate in Dillon?

Only 34 out of every 100 homes for sale have found a buyer. The other 66 are still waiting. Your offer may be the only one on the table. Few sellers are dropping their price. Asking prices are holding firm. Your discount will come from one stale listing, not from the whole market.

A typical Dillon home takes 48 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 20% faster than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago. There are 258 homes for sale in Dillon. That is 5.6 times the tightest month on record, but below the peak of 302. Supply is growing against last year.

What to do about it

• Search Dillon homes listed 60+ days ago that have already cut their price.
• Offer below the reduced price.
• Keep your inspection and financing contingencies.
• Ask the seller to pay closing costs.
• You can lose a few offers here and still win.

Is now a good time to buy in Dillon?

Asking prices are 44.9% below their Jan 2023 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower. Dillon prices rose in only 71 of the last 108 months. This market goes up and down. Timing matters here. Growth will not rescue a bad price.

There is no rush. Prices are still coming down. Watch the homes you like. Come back after they cut. Let the seller move first.

What numbers should you underwrite a Dillon deal with?

• Price growth to assume — +6.4%/yr. 1 year: -3.4% · 5 years: +6.4% · ten years: +8.5%. Do not use the ten-year rate. Most of that growth landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. The five-year rate is what Dillon does without one. Underwrite closer to +6.4%. Measure growth per square foot. Dillon median list price grew 4.6% a year, but price per square foot grew 8.5%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.
• Months of carrying cost — 2. A typical home takes 48 days to sell. Budget that long when you exit or refinance.
• Odds you cut your price to sell — 1 in 10. About 10% of homes on the Dillon market right now have already cut their asking price. Assume you are one of them when you sell. Do not underwrite an exit at your asking price.
• Comp on this, not median price — $807/sqft. The typical Dillon listing shrank from 1,489 to 1,126 sqft since Jul 2016. So median price hides real growth: 124% per sqft versus 56% on the median. Comp on median price and you will overpay for small homes.
• Competition when you exit — +19%. That is how much the number of homes for sale grew in a year. Your resale will face a bigger crowd than today's comps did.

Is Dillon a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Dillon right now. 0.34 out of every 100 homes for sale have a buyer, 10% of sellers have cut their price, and a typical home takes 48 days to sell.

Are Dillon home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are 44.9% below their Jan 2023 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower.

What price growth should I assume for Dillon?

+6.4%/yr. 1 year: -3.4% · 5 years: +6.4% · ten years: +8.5%. Do not use the ten-year rate. Most of that growth landed in the 2020 and 2021 boom. The five-year rate is what Dillon does without one. Underwrite closer to +6.4%. Measure growth per square foot. Dillon median list price grew 4.6% a year, but price per square foot grew 8.5%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.

How fast are homes selling in Dillon?

A typical Dillon home takes 48 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 20% faster than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago.