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Dynamic.RE · SFR Market Intelligence

Marana, Arizona Housing Market

Prices, inventory, and demand — distilled every month into one clear verdict: buyer’s market or seller’s. The investor’s read, before you make an offer.

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Data through June 2026
Dynamic.RE Verdict
Buyer's Market
Under 0.90 buyers per home for sale, sellers compete for buyers. Marana sits at 0.49, with 19% of sellers already cutting their price.
Median list price
$481,217
-5.7%
Demand : Supply
0.49
Days on market
60 days
Time to go under contract

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Marana right now.

You have the upper hand in Marana. Most homes for sale still have no buyer. Many sellers have already dropped their price once. Sellers are competing for you. Use it.

01
The market at a glance
Median $ / sqft
$240
Active inventory
299
New listings / mo
94
Days on market
60 days
Price-cut share
19.1%
Pending sales
146
02
Where we are in the cycle
Median asking price
$481,217
20% below the May 2022 peak of $600K
Homes for sale
299
6.1× the Apr 2021 low of 49
Days to sell
60 days
2.2× slower than the 27-day Jul 2021 low
03
The renter economy
15%
Renter share · of occupied homes
9.0%
Vacant homes · all units
$103.2K
Median household income
4.7×
Price-to-income · list ÷ income
04
What this means for investors

How much can you negotiate in Marana?

Only 49 out of every 100 homes for sale have found a buyer. The other 51 are still waiting. Your offer may be the only one on the table. About 1 in 5 sellers has already dropped their price. Each one has learned their first price was too high. Start below their new price, not their old one.

A typical Marana home takes 60 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago. There are 299 homes for sale in Marana. That is 6.1 times the tightest month on record, but below the peak of 332. Supply is shrinking against last year.

What to do about it

  • Search Marana homes listed 60+ days ago that have already cut their price.
  • Offer below the reduced price.
  • Keep your inspection and financing contingencies.
  • Ask the seller to pay closing costs.
  • You can lose a few offers here and still win.

Is now a good time to buy in Marana?

Asking prices are 19.7% below their May 2022 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower. Marana prices have risen in 80 of the last 108 months. Drops here have been short and shallow. Buying in a slow month has rarely hurt a long hold.

There is no rush. Prices are still coming down. Watch the homes you like. Come back after they cut. Let the seller move first.

Who will rent from you in Marana?

Only 15 out of every 100 Marana households rent. This is an owners' town. The renter share is shrinking. Five years ago it was 17 in 100. Renter households here average 2.5 people. Families rent here. Buy bedrooms, not studios.

Households grew 34% in five years. The housing stock grew 29%. Demand is outrunning supply. 9.0% of homes sit empty. That is normal for a healthy market.

The median Marana household earns $103,202 a year. Incomes here have grown 6.3% a year since 2019. Incomes are rising faster than home prices. Affordability is improving. A typical home costs 4.7 times the median income. That is the national middle. Neither cash flow nor appreciation is free here. A tenant on the median income can pay about $2,580 a month. That is the standard 30% affordability line. Rents above it thin your tenant pool fast.

That is the market, not your address. Run an address through the app to see its rent estimate and cash flow.

What numbers should you underwrite a Marana deal with?

  • Price growth to assume — +3.3%/yr. Marana has grown about 3.3% a year for five years and for ten. That is a durable trend, not a boom artifact. It is a fair long-run input. Prices rose 0.6% over the last year. That is a timing signal, not a trend.
  • Months of carrying cost — 2. A typical home takes 60 days to sell. Budget that long when you exit or refinance.
  • Odds you cut your price to sell — 1 in 5. About 19% of homes on the Marana market right now have already cut their asking price. Assume you are one of them when you sell. Do not underwrite an exit at your asking price.
  • Comp on this, not median price — $240/sqft. The typical Marana listing shrank from 2,348 to 2,085 sqft since Jul 2016. So median price hides real growth: 67% per sqft versus 51% on the median. Comp on median price and you will overpay for small homes.
  • Competition when you exit — -7%. That is how much the number of homes for sale shrank in a year. Your resale will face a smaller crowd than today's comps did.
  • Price-to-income ratio — 4.7×. A typical home costs 4.7 times the median income. That is the national middle. Neither cash flow nor appreciation is free here. Incomes are rising faster than home prices. Affordability is improving.
  • Tenant rent ceiling — $2,580/mo. 30% of the median household income of $103,202. Rents above this line shrink your tenant pool fast.
05
Frequently asked questions

Is Marana a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Marana right now. 49 out of every 100 homes for sale have a buyer, 19% of sellers have cut their price, and a typical home takes 60 days to sell.

Are Marana home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are 19.7% below their May 2022 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower.

What price growth should I assume for Marana?

Assume +3.3% a year. Marana has grown about 3.3% a year for five years and for ten. That is a durable trend, not a boom artifact. It is a fair long-run input. Prices rose 0.6% over the last year. That is a timing signal, not a trend.

How fast are homes selling in Marana?

A typical Marana home takes 60 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago.

Is Marana a renters' market or an owners' market?

Only 15 out of every 100 Marana households rent. This is an owners' town. The renter share is shrinking. Five years ago it was 17 in 100. 9.0% of homes sit empty. That is normal for a healthy market.

What rent can Marana tenants afford?

A tenant on the median income can pay about $2,580 a month. That is the standard 30% affordability line. Rents above it thin your tenant pool fast. The median Marana household earns $103,202 a year.

06
ZIP-level detail

Which ZIP codes are in Marana?

Marana has two ZIP codes. Each links to its live market dashboard.

  • 85653117 for sale · 23% cutting · 41 daysOnly 64 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
  • 85658182 for sale · 16% cutting · 72 daysOnly 39 out of 100 homes here have a buyer.
07
Where else to look

Markets similar to Marana

Closest matches on asking price, price per square foot, days to sell, buyer demand, and price cuts.

See what a Marana property is actually worth
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