Los Gatos, California Housing Market

How much can you negotiate in Los Gatos?

Only 39 out of every 100 homes for sale have found a buyer. The other 61 are still waiting. Your offer may be the only one on the table. About 1 in 6 sellers has already dropped their price. Each one has learned their first price was too high. Start below their new price, not their old one.

A typical Los Gatos home takes 49 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 12% slower than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago. There are 129 homes for sale in Los Gatos. That is 4.4 times the tightest month on record, but below the peak of 152. Supply is shrinking against last year.

What to do about it

• Search Los Gatos homes listed 60+ days ago that have already cut their price.
• Offer below the reduced price.
• Keep your inspection and financing contingencies.
• Ask the seller to pay closing costs.
• You can lose a few offers here and still win.

Is now a good time to buy in Los Gatos?

Asking prices are 23.0% below their Mar 2024 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower. Los Gatos prices rose in only 72 of the last 108 months. This market goes up and down. Timing matters here. Growth will not rescue a bad price.

There is no rush. Prices are still coming down. Watch the homes you like. Come back after they cut. Let the seller move first.

What numbers should you underwrite a Los Gatos deal with?

• Price growth to assume — +1.2%/yr. 1 year: -3.8% · 5 years: +1.2% · ten years: +3.2%. The five-year and ten-year rates agree. That is a durable trend, not a boom artifact. It is a fair long-run input. Measure growth per square foot. Los Gatos median list price grew 2.1% a year, but price per square foot grew 3.2%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.
• Months of carrying cost — 2. A typical home takes 49 days to sell. Budget that long when you exit or refinance. It is 12% slower than a year ago.
• Odds you cut your price to sell — 1 in 6. About 18% of homes on the Los Gatos market right now have already cut their asking price. Assume you are one of them when you sell. Do not underwrite an exit at your asking price.
• Comp on this, not median price — $976/sqft. The average listing runs +25% above the median. Luxury homes skew it. Comp your own size class per sqft.
• Competition when you exit — -12%. That is how much the number of homes for sale shrank in a year. Your resale will face a smaller crowd than today's comps did.

Is Los Gatos a buyer's or seller's market in 2026?

Yes, if you negotiate. Buyers have the upper hand in Los Gatos right now. 0.39 out of every 100 homes for sale have a buyer, 18% of sellers have cut their price, and a typical home takes 49 days to sell.

Are Los Gatos home prices going up or down?

Asking prices are 23.0% below their Mar 2024 peak. You are not buying at the top. Prices are still falling. Waiting has paid off so far. Let listings age, then come back lower.

What price growth should I assume for Los Gatos?

+1.2%/yr. 1 year: -3.8% · 5 years: +1.2% · ten years: +3.2%. The five-year and ten-year rates agree. That is a durable trend, not a boom artifact. It is a fair long-run input. Measure growth per square foot. Los Gatos median list price grew 2.1% a year, but price per square foot grew 3.2%. The gap is smaller homes, not weaker growth. The house you buy will not shrink. The one-year rate is a timing signal. It is not an underwriting input.

How fast are homes selling in Los Gatos?

A typical Los Gatos home takes 49 days to find a buyer. Half of them take even longer. That is 12% slower than a year ago. Those sellers are paying to own a house they want to sell. Search for homes listed 60+ days ago.